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Thesis19 Aug 2026Why CodecFlow is the most undervalued onchain robotics playArgues Codec is building the AWS/Vercel-style rails for robotics: SimArena (browser simulation), Fabric (per-second GPU mesh), OPTR (runtime) and machine.fun funding. At about $3M FDV, down 90% from launch, the author sees a large gap between shipping and valuation.Breakdown22 Oct 2026Axis Robotics: crowd-sourced robot training data and the AXIS tokenAxis runs a crowd teleop gym behind a 50K+ demo dataset; pi0.5 scored 88.8 vs 83.9 with Axis data, in simulation only. At ~$0.30 and ~$298M FDV on a 16.5% float, AXIS has no fee or buyback sink, so he sees it as priced for success.Thesis16 Sep 2026CODEC: SimArena at TUM's robo.innovate hackathon with 80+ teamsCODEC at ~$6M mcap (2.4x in ten days) as SimArena becomes the simulator for 80+ teams at the 23 to 28 Oct robo.innovate hackathon. Three of eight challenges depend on simulation, and top teams get fast-tracked into The Foundry.
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