Prediction markets landscape: general, financial, sports, social and infra
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Categorized list of prediction market and betting protocols across general-purpose, financial, sports, social and infrastructure segments, shared as a work in progress. Notes Polymarket valued at $15B and Kalshi at $12B.
Key claims
Polymarket valued at $15B
Kalshi valued at $12B
A few months ago I started compiling a full list of prediction markets (and betting protocols), trying to high-level categorize them.
Sharing current stage of list here (part 1/2) ↓
General-Purpose Prediction Markets:
- @Polymarket (leading prediction market, valued at $15B)
- @Kalshi (leading prediction market, valued at $12B)
- @MyriadMarkets (prediction markets on everything)
- @opinionlabsxyz (predictions market backed by YZI labs)
- @meleemarkets (prediction market coming to Solana)
- @ManifoldMarkets (general prediction markets)
- @BuzzingApp (AI-powered prediction market on Fluent)
- @DriftProtocol (prediction markets on Solana)
- @xomarket (open conviction markets)
- @controrg (AI-driven prediction market)
- @HedgehogMarket (prediction market on Solana)
- @PredictlyX (prediction market on MegaETH)
- @42space (consumer-focused prediction markets app)
- @PredictBase (prediction market on Base)
- @triadfi (prediction market on Solana)
Financial Prediction Markets:
- @trylimitless (focuses on short-term crypto/stocks)
- @signalswtf (range-based BTC price predictions on Citrea)
- @trepa_io (continuous outcome predictions)
- @multiplierfun (gamified capital markets on Solana)
- @PicassoMarkets (daily stock prediction market on Sei)
- @Euphoria_fi (binary options trading on MegaETH)
Sports Predictions and Betting:
- @MonacoProtocol (sports-focused betting/prediction platform)
- @sportfun (tokenized shares of real players based on performance)
- @SX_Network (sports betting protocol)
- @Overtime_io (sports betting protocol)
- @RareBetSports (sports betting on Monad)
- @Levr_Bet (sports betting with leverage)
- @mashdotfun (sports perps)
(continued in next tweet)
Part 2/2 ↓
Social and Niche Prediction Markets
- @noise_xyz (trade attention with leverage)
- @onit_fun (native social predictions on feeds)
- @BetOnBluff_io (social feed integrated predictions)
- @narrativexyz (story-driven prediction markets)
- @InertiaSocial (social prediction platform)
- @UpsideFun (bet on virality of social media content)
- @trendsdotfun (bet on virality of tweets)
- @upshot_cards (prediction as collectible cards, Pokémon-style)
- @kairosdotwin (Bitcoin-denominated prediction market)
- @chompdotgames (gamified predictions on Solana)
- @opinionsdotfun (trade opinions on Solana)
- @fireplacegg (bet on the news with friends)
- @dripit_io (music prediction game on Avalanche)
- @foresightnow (social-first prediction market)
- @kizzymobile (social media betting on Monad)
- @kash_bot (trade through quote tweets)
Infrastructure and Tooling:
- @HyperliquidX (prediction market perps via HIP-3)
- @AugurProject (decentralized oracle and prediction market protocol)
- @azuroprotocol (prediction market infrastructure)
- @UMAprotocol (optimistic oracle for data verification/market resolution)
- @metaculus (forecasting platform and aggregator)
- @theclearingco (market clearing infrastructure)
- @gondorfi (DeFi layer for prediction markets)
- @9livesso (customizable prediction markets)
- @precogmarket (forecasting protocol)
- @joustlabs_ (create your own prediction market)
- @polymtrade (mobile trading terminal for Polymarket)
What else?
And think it still needs quite a bit of work, so all help/inputs very much welcome frens.
Let's make this a group effort.