HIP-4 World Cup campaign final report: +$22.2k realized on Hyperliquid
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Results of a 32-day HIP-4 book: a $3.5k stake grew to $25.7k with 12 wins and 7 losses across 19 markets. The Spain World Cup ticket was the biggest hit, and the 50 to 500 HYPE mission reached 428.6.
Key claims
+$22.2k realized PnL, 7.3x bankroll, 63.2% hit rate, 3.41x profit factor
Spain winner ticket: 7,322 shares at 0.1255 avg, +$6.4k
428.6 of 500 HYPE target reached (85.7%)
Final report on the HIP-4 World Cup campaign and the 50 hyperliquid:native to 500 hyperliquid:native mission:
Spain lifted the trophy, so my 7.97x winner ticket settled at 1.00, and the book is officially closed.
Final numbers:
➤ +$22.2k USDC realized PnL in 32 days
➤ $3.5k stake turned into a $25.7k final balance = 7.3x on the bankroll
➤ 12W and 7L across 19 settled markets, leaving me with a 63.2% hit rate and a 3.41x profit factor
➤ Spain winning the WC ended up as the biggest single hit of the entire book: 7,322 shares bought at 0.1255 avg, settled for a $7.3k payout and +$6.4k PnL
➤ The 🇨🇭-Nati book closed 4W/1L and +$9.2k after Argentina ended the run in the quarters
Re the HYPE mission:
428.6 / 500 hyperliquid:native, a.k.a. 85.7% achieved (at a 60 mark).
So yes, fell 71.4 short of the proclaimed target, but tbh after the Nati ticket died in the quarters that was kind of expected.
Conlcusion:
I sold 50 hyperliquid:native at ~72 to fund this. The stack now buys back me back 428.6 at 60. That's an 8.6x in HYPE terms in a month, and ironically HYPE selling off helped the buyback math lol.
Calling the mission at 86% complete and the campaign is still a full success.
Prediction markets on HL are criminally underrated and I'll be back for the next one.
My hidden points balance for S3 airdrop might be the real win here tho kek.
Hyperliquid.
Special thanks to the three players that secured me the majority of the wins in the end:
QUOTING @zerokn0wledge_
I love HIP-4 markets. Still have my Spain winning the world cup bet open, where now after Oyarzabal's 1:0, I'm up 174% already (=$1.6k). If Spain actually wins this game, that PnL will go up even more (max payout $7.3k). Meanwhile, I hedged my position with a bet on France adv
I love HIP-4 markets. Still have my Spain winning the world cup bet open, where now after Oyarzabal's 1:0, I'm up 174% already (=$1.6k). If Spain actually wins this game, that PnL will go up even more (max payout $7.3k). Meanwhile, I hedged my position with a bet on France adv
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